Prediction Market Arbitrage Finder

Identifies cross-venue arbitrage opportunities in binary prediction markets. Computes gross spread, per-venue fees (Kalshi parabolic 7%, SX Bet 2%, CME $0.50/ct, Robinhood $0.10/ct), net edge, break-even stake, and max Kelly allocation. Flags positive-edge arb and near-miss near-arb signals. Zero PII. Client-side. Works offline.

Tool URL: https://ainumbers.co/chaingraph/art-212-prediction-market-arbitrage.html

post/v1/tools/find_prediction_arbitrage

Request

  • Base URL: https://ainumbers.co
  • URL: https://ainumbers.co/v1/tools/find_prediction_arbitrage
  • Auth: none declared

Request body

no_price_bnumber
payoutnumber
stake_totalnumber
venue_aunknown required
venue_bunknown required
yes_price_anumber

Response

Successful tool execution result

arb_existsfalse | true required
capital_deployednumber required
consensus_gapnumber required
disclaimerstring required
fee_anumber required
fee_bnumber required
gross_profitnumber required
gross_spreadnumber required
gross_spread_pctnumber required
implied_prob_yes_anumber required
implied_prob_yes_bnumber required
k_contractsnumber required
min_spread_to_break_evennumber required
net_edge_pctnumber required
net_profitnumber required
no_price_bnumber required
payoutnumber required
stake_totalnumber required
total_feesnumber required
venue_a'kalshi' | 'polymarket' required
venue_b'cme_event' | 'kalshi' required
yes_price_anumber required

Changes

No recorded changes to this operation across all 1 revision of this API.