Player-prop value finder (model hit-rate vs market) with backtest
Player-prop value finder: flags props where a player's empirical over/under hit rate (model probability) beats the de-vigged over/under juice (market probability). Edge = model minus market. Two windows: upcoming (default) flags props on games in the next 24h using a trailing lookback-game model; all runs a point-in-time historical backtest and populates a backtest block (record, ROI, average edge). The crude empirical model flags generously, so treat the backtest as a calibration check, not an edge guarantee. Response object keys: model, window, min_edge_pct, lookback, min_games, evaluated, value_found, backtest (null for upcoming), props[]. 5-minute Redis cache. Solo plan or higher: prop value signals start at Solo; Free receives a 403 naming the tier and linking the docs and pricing pages. (The Edge in "Edge = model minus market" above is the statistical quantity, not the plan.)
Request
- Base URL: https://api.bigballsdata.com
- URL: https://api.bigballsdata.com/v1/intelligence/value-props
- Auth: one of:
- API key in header x-api-key
- HTTP bearer
Query parameters
upcoming: next-24h props, live model. all: point-in-time historical backtest.
Minimum model-minus-market edge in percentage points.
Restrict to one prop market. Omit for all markets.
upcoming: trailing games in the model sample. all: scoring window.
Minimum games of history required to flag a prop.
Response
ok
Changes
No recorded changes to this operation across all 2 revisions of this API.