gauge
macro
reconcile
full
no-data-no-charge

Market-implied against officially-realized

[RECONCILIATION] Market-implied against officially-realized, side by side: Kalshi implied levels versus BLS official prints, aligned indicator by indicator, with the divergence quantified. The alignment key is returned so you can verify the pairing yourself. We show both numbers and the gap - the reading is yours. Descriptive only, never a forecast or advice. No data -> 422 no_charge, not billed. Also searched as: market expectation versus outcome; implied against realized macro; macro calibration check.

get/gauge/macro-reconcile-full

Request

  • Base URL: https://api.truthbear.co
  • URL: https://api.truthbear.co/gauge/macro-reconcile-full
  • Auth: none declared

Response

Paid response

naturestring

Neutrality statement: GAUGE supplies observations and trend description only - no judgement, no prediction, no recommendation

productstring

Product marker (macro reconciliation - market-implied vs official-realized)

reconcileobject[] required

CORE DELIVERY: metric-by-metric alignment; each row carries metric / kalshi_series / official_realized{value,kind,unit,period,source,age_hours} / market_implied / the divergence between them

disclaimerstring

Statement of the difference in kind between market-implied and officially-realized values

gradestring nullable

Honest data-grade disclosure (e.g. "screening-level, not decision-grade")

scopestring nullable

Honest statement of scope and limits: monitoring is not forecasting, intelligence is not instruction, and the boundary of what is verifiable

_citationobject nullable

Offline-verifiable citation: {statement_type, not_advice:bool, claim, fact, source, record_hash, signature(Ed25519), key_id, issuer_DID(did:key), verify_url} - the trust root for zero-trust self-verification

Changes

No recorded changes to this operation across all 1 revision of this API.