prediction

Crowd calibration + Brier score

How calibrated the crowd has been: the market probability recorded a measured lead before settlement, bucketed against the actual outcome, with a Brier score (0 = perfect, 0.25 = a coin flip), per-category Brier, and longshot / near-certain tail bias. Polymarket markets only. Segmented by market type, so no score is pooled across populations that differ in horizon and correlation, and any figure whose sample cannot carry it is returned as null with a stated reason. venue accepts all or polymarket for backward compatibility; both mean Polymarket. Historical framing only.

get/prediction/calibration

Request

  • Base URL: https://kresmion.com/v1
  • URL: https://kresmion.com/v1/prediction/calibration
  • Auth: HTTP bearer

Query parameters

venuestring nullable
market_typestring nullable

Headers

authorizationstring nullable

Response

Successful Response

object required

Changes

No recorded changes to this operation across all 1 revision of this API.