Market-implied correct-score probabilities for ONE football match.
The de-vigged 1x2 + totals markets are inverted into a bivariate-Poisson
(Dixon-Coles) score grid; the asian-handicap fair price is held out and
reported as ah_ev_check (≈0 = the markets agree with the grid). When the
moneyline is suspended (common once a match is decided) but the books keep
totals + AH open, supremacy is solved from the handicap instead and
ah_ev_check is null. Live matches are conditioned on the current score:
the lambdas describe REMAINING goals and scorelines are still full-time
(never below the current score). This is what the market implies, not a
house prediction. status mirrors get_sharp_line: ok | ambiguous |
not_found | no_data.