Rates and curve

Fed rate cut and hike odds

Changed on

What the fed funds futures market prices for each remaining FOMC meeting: the probability of a cut or a hike, the implied effective rate after each one, and the total move priced across the path. Computed by Helious from settlement prices against the EFFECTIVE fed funds rate, not the midpoint of the target range, because the contracts settle on the effective rate and the gap between the two would otherwise read as a probability. Live on every plan: a settlement price and a daily published rate have nothing to delay.

get/v1/rate-odds

Request

  • Base URL: https://api.helious.io
  • URL: https://api.helious.io/v1/rate-odds
  • Auth: none declared

Query parameters

freshboolean

Not on Pro or Ultimate? Add fresh=1 to this request and this one call answers live (news, prints, auctions, boards and prices at the live instant) for 5 credits. Left out, Free, Squawk and Starter get the answer 60 minutes behind for 1 credit. With fewer than 5 credits left the live call is refused with out_of_credits and nothing is charged; the same call without the flag still answers for 1. Accepted and free on Pro and Ultimate, where the view is already live. Ignored without a key: a free account key has the flag. Over MCP the same flag is fresh: true in the tool's arguments.

Response

The priced path.

summarystring

The answer as a sentence, with the numbers in it. Identical to the sentence the matching MCP tool returns.

dataobject

The dataset itself.

metaobject

When it was true, and what your plan allows.

plan_limitobject

Present only when your plan moved the window. Says this is a plan limit rather than missing data, what Helious holds behind it, and the exact step to relay to the person you work for.

Example response

{
  "source": {
    "name": "Helious",
    "cite_as": "Helious, https://helious.io/auctions"
  }
}

Changes

  • 06bada17ad7aRevision changes
    • info

      added the new optional query request parameter fresh

    • info

      added the non-success response with the status