Metaculus

Metaculus question forecast history

Returns public aggregation forecast history points for one Metaculus question. The method enum accepts recency_weighted, unweighted, and single_aggregation.

get/metaculus/question/{id}/forecast-history

Request

  • Base URL: https://api.crawlora.net/api/v1
  • URL: https://api.crawlora.net/api/v1/metaculus/question/{id}/forecast-history
  • Auth: API key in header x-api-key

Path parameters

idstring required

Metaculus question or post id

Query parameters

method'recency_weighted' | 'unweighted' | 'single_aggregation'

Aggregation method

max_pointsinteger

Maximum history points to return, default 500, max 2000

Headers

x-api-keystring required

API key required

Response

OK

codeinteger
msgstring

Example response

{
  "code": 200,
  "data": {
    "fetched_at": "2026-06-07T14:00:00Z",
    "max_points": 500,
    "method": "recency_weighted",
    "points": [
      {
        "center": 0.36,
        "end_time": "2026-06-01T17:06:20Z",
        "end_ts": 1780333580.206417,
        "forecaster_count": 17,
        "lower": 0.26,
        "start_time": "2026-06-01T17:00:00Z",
        "start_ts": 1780333200,
        "upper": 0.61
      }
    ],
    "points_count": 25,
    "public_page_derived": true,
    "question": {
      "categories": [
        {
          "emoji": "💼",
          "id": 3698,
          "name": "Economy & Business",
          "slug": "economy-business",
          "type": "category"
        }
      ],
      "comment_count": 16,
      "edited_at": "2026-06-07T13:14:34Z",
      "forecaster_count": 54,
      "forecasts_count": 149,
      "id": 43612,
      "latest_forecast_center": 0.52,
      "latest_forecast_lower": 0.37,
      "latest_forecast_upper": 0.66,
      "open_time": "2026-06-01T17:00:00Z",
      "projects": [
        {
          "emoji": "💼",
          "id": 3698,
          "name": "Economy & Business",
          "slug": "economy-business",
          "type": "category"
        }
      ],
      "public_page_derived": true,
      "published_at": "2026-05-29T15:33:53Z",
      "question_id": 43609,
      "question_title": "What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur in June 2026?",
      "question_type": "numeric",
      "scheduled_close_time": "2026-07-15T00:00:00Z",
      "scheduled_resolve_time": "2026-09-07T00:00:00Z",
      "slug": "tampa-sulphur-price-in-june-2026",
      "status": "open",
      "title": "Tampa sulphur price in June 2026?",
      "unit": "USD/metric ton",
      "url": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43612/tampa-sulphur-price-in-june-2026/"
    },
    "source_url": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43612/"
  },
  "msg": "OK"
}

Changes

No recorded changes to this operation across all 2 revisions of this API.