---
title: "Market-implied against officially-realized"
method: GET
path: "/gauge/macro-reconcile-full"
tags: ["gauge", "macro", "reconcile", "full", "no-data-no-charge"]
---

# Market-implied against officially-realized

`GET /gauge/macro-reconcile-full`

## Request

- Base URL: `https://api.truthbear.co`
- URL: `https://api.truthbear.co/gauge/macro-reconcile-full`
- Auth: none declared

[RECONCILIATION] Market-implied against officially-realized, side by side: Kalshi implied levels versus BLS official prints, aligned indicator by indicator, with the divergence quantified. The alignment key is returned so you can verify the pairing yourself. We show both numbers and the gap - the reading is yours. Descriptive only, never a forecast or advice. No data -> 422 no_charge, not billed. Also searched as: market expectation versus outcome; implied against realized macro; macro calibration check.

## Response `200`

Paid response

- object
  - `nature` string: Neutrality statement: GAUGE supplies observations and trend description only - no judgement, no prediction, no recommendation
  - `product` string: Product marker (macro reconciliation - market-implied vs official-realized)
  - `reconcile` object[], required: CORE DELIVERY: metric-by-metric alignment; each row carries metric / kalshi_series / official_realized{value,kind,unit,period,source,age_hours} / market_implied / the divergence between them
  - `disclaimer` string: Statement of the difference in kind between market-implied and officially-realized values
  - `grade` string, nullable: Honest data-grade disclosure (e.g. "screening-level, not decision-grade")
  - `scope` string, nullable: Honest statement of scope and limits: monitoring is not forecasting, intelligence is not instruction, and the boundary of what is verifiable
  - `_citation` object, nullable: Offline-verifiable citation: {statement_type, not_advice:bool, claim, fact, source, record_hash, signature(Ed25519), key_id, issuer_DID(did:key), verify_url} - the trust root for zero-trust self-verification

## Other responses

- `402`: Payment Required
- `422`: No data for this query - no_charge:true, you are NOT billed

---

[API](https://skmtc.dev/truthbear/apis/truth-bear-verifiable-screening-intelligence-for-ai-agents-g.md) · [All operations](https://skmtc.dev/truthbear/apis/truth-bear-verifiable-screening-intelligence-for-ai-agents-g/llms.txt) · [OpenAPI document](https://skmtc.dev/truthbear/apis/truth-bear-verifiable-screening-intelligence-for-ai-agents-g/revisions/35744dfa4550?raw)