---
title: "Live Probabilities by Fixture ID"
method: GET
path: "/football/predictions/live/probabilities/fixtures/{fixtureId}"
tags: ["Predictions"]
---

# Live Probabilities by Fixture ID

`GET /football/predictions/live/probabilities/fixtures/{fixtureId}`

## Request

- Base URL: `https://api.sportmonks.com/v3`
- URL: `https://api.sportmonks.com/v3/football/predictions/live/probabilities/fixtures/{fixtureId}`
- Auth: one of:
  - API key in query parameter `api_token`
  - API key in header `Authorization`

Returns all live probabilities for a single fixture — per-minute win/draw/loss forecasts for a specific live match. Answers HTTP 200 with an empty `data` array when the fixture is not in play. To check availability up front, request the fixture with `include=metadata.type` and look for the `LIVE_PREDICTION_STATUS` metadata type (`values.live_predictable: true`).

**Add-on required.** Live Probabilities requires the Predictions add-on on your subscription. Pagination is cursor-based: the wire envelope carries both a classic `next_page` URL and a `next_cursor` URL (live-verified 2026-07-29; the docs show only a bare cursor token).

[Sportmonks documentation](https://docs.sportmonks.com/v3/endpoints-and-entities/endpoints/predictions/get-live-probabilities-by-fixture-id)

## Path parameters

- `fixtureId` integer, required

## Query parameters

- `include` string
- `filters` string
- `locale` string
- `order` 'asc' | 'desc'
- `per_page` integer
- `cursor` string

## Response `200`

Success.

- object
  - `data` LiveProbability[], required
    - `id` integer: The unique ID of this live prediction record
    - `fixture_id` integer: The ID of the fixture this prediction belongs to
    - `period_id` integer: The ID of the match period (e.g. first half, second half) this prediction was recorded in
    - `minute` integer: The match minute at which this prediction was generated
    - `predictions` object: Home win, away win and draw probabilities as percentages (observed sums 100.00 ± 0.01). Whole values are emitted as bare JSON integers on the wire (live-verified 2026-07-29), so all three fields are `number`.
      - `home` number: Home-win probability, percent.
      - `away` number: Away-win probability, percent.
      - `draw` number: Draw probability, percent.
    - `type_id` integer: The prediction type. For live probabilities this is 237 (Fulltime Result Probability) on every captured row.
  - `pagination` Pagination: Pagination metadata returned with collection responses.
    - `count` integer: Number of items in the current page.
    - `per_page` integer: Maximum items per page.
    - `current_page` integer: Current page number.
    - `next_page` string, nullable: URL of the next page, when available.
    - `has_more` boolean: True when more pages are available.
  - `subscription` SubscriptionInfo[]
    - `meta` SubscriptionMeta
      - `trial_ends_at` string, date-time, nullable
      - `ends_at` string, date-time, nullable
      - `current_timestamp` integer
      - `next_billing_cycle` string, nullable
    - `plans` SubscriptionPlan[]
      - `plan` string
      - `sport` string
      - `category` string
    - `add_ons` SubscriptionAddOn[]: Add-ons / trialing features for this account. Empty when none are attached.
      - `add_on` string: Add-on name; may include a trial-end suffix like ' - Trialing until 2026-05-31 13:19:52'.
      - `sport` string
      - `category` string: Add-on category (Predictions, Team rankings, Calls, …).
    - `widgets` SubscriptionWidget[]: Widget entitlements for this account. Empty when none are attached.
      - `widget` string: Widget name (e.g. 'Wesley van Rooij Widgets All').
      - `sport` string: Sport scope of the widget (e.g. 'Football').
  - `rate_limit` RateLimit: Rate-limit window metadata returned with every successful response.
    - `resets_in_seconds` integer
    - `remaining` integer
    - `requested_entity` string
  - `timezone` string, required

## Other responses

- `400`: Bad Request. Some part of the request is malformed.
- `401`: Unauthorized. The request is not authenticated (missing or invalid api_token).
- `403`: Forbidden. The endpoint or resource is not accessible from your subscription.
- `404`: Not Found. The endpoint or resource does not exist.
- `422`: Validation Error. Required parameters missing or malformed.
- `429`: Too Many Requests. Hourly request limit exceeded — see RateLimit metadata.
- `500`: Internal Server Error. An internal error has been logged for inspection.

---

[API](https://skmtc.dev/sportmonks/apis/sportmonks-football-api.md) - [All operations](https://skmtc.dev/sportmonks/apis/sportmonks-football-api/llms.txt) - [OpenAPI document](https://skmtc.dev/sportmonks/apis/sportmonks-football-api/revisions/c9d56fb26b94?raw)